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China forecasts moderate-or-stronger El Niño to hit this summer, autumn

China’s National Climate Centre warns that El Niño conditions expected to emerge in May could persist through year-end, increasing the risk of extreme weather and agricultural disruptions. The event may bring heavier rainfall in southern regions and warmer-than-normal winter temperatures.

Reuters

20 April 2026 at 07:25:39

FILE PHOTO: Tourists relax by the Victoria Harbour waterfront, with the iconic skyline providing a scenic backdrop, in Hong Kong, China, July 10, 2023.

Tyrone SIu/Reuters

China's National Climate Centre expects El Nino conditions to emerge in May and forecasts a moderate-or-stronger El Nino weather event in the summer and autumn, state media reported:


  • The El Nino event is expected to last "at least through the end of this year", the NCC said

  • The forecaster said it is too early to say if global temperatures will hit a record high this year, but "related risk is rising significantly"

  • In China, the El Nino effect generally causes increased rainfall in southern regions during autumn, raising the risk of disruptions to the harvest of late-season rice

  • El Nino could also lead to warmer-than-usual conditions in winter, reducing water supplies for spring ploughing next year


-Reporting by Xiuhao Chen and Ryan Woo; Editing by Himani Sarkar/Reuters

China's National Climate Centre expects El Nino conditions to emerge in May and forecasts a moderate-or-stronger El Nino weather event in the summer and autumn, state media reported:

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