China forecasts moderate-or-stronger El Niño to hit this summer, autumn
China’s National Climate Centre warns that El Niño conditions expected to emerge in May could persist through year-end, increasing the risk of extreme weather and agricultural disruptions. The event may bring heavier rainfall in southern regions and warmer-than-normal winter temperatures.
Reuters
20 April 2026 at 07:25:39

FILE PHOTO: Tourists relax by the Victoria Harbour waterfront, with the iconic skyline providing a scenic backdrop, in Hong Kong, China, July 10, 2023.
Tyrone SIu/Reuters
China's National Climate Centre expects El Nino conditions to emerge in May and forecasts a moderate-or-stronger El Nino weather event in the summer and autumn, state media reported:
The El Nino event is expected to last "at least through the end of this year", the NCC said
The forecaster said it is too early to say if global temperatures will hit a record high this year, but "related risk is rising significantly"
In China, the El Nino effect generally causes increased rainfall in southern regions during autumn, raising the risk of disruptions to the harvest of late-season rice
El Nino could also lead to warmer-than-usual conditions in winter, reducing water supplies for spring ploughing next year
-Reporting by Xiuhao Chen and Ryan Woo; Editing by Himani Sarkar/Reuters
China's National Climate Centre expects El Nino conditions to emerge in May and forecasts a moderate-or-stronger El Nino weather event in the summer and autumn, state media reported:
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